PSG vs Inter Milan Prediction: Who Will Win the 2025 Champions League Final?

On May 31, 2025, the football world turns its eyes to the iconic Munich Football Arena for the UEFA Champions League final. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) and Inter Milan face off for the first time in official competition, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. With thousands of fans expected to fill the stadium, this clash between French flair and Italian structure is shaping up to be one of the most compelling finals in recent years.

The Road to Munich

Inter Milan carved their path to the final with sheer resilience and tactical discipline. Their campaign has been a masterclass in defensive organization, topped off by an epic 7–6 aggregate win over Barcelona in the semifinals. The extra time goal from Davide Frattesi sealed the deal, proving that Inter have both the nerve and the know-how to go the distance.

PSG have impressed with their fast, exciting style and young talent. Led by manager Luis Enrique, they beat Arsenal in both semifinal matches with calm and confident play. Even after losing star player Kylian Mbappé last summer, the team has stayed strong. Ousmane Dembélé has taken the lead, scoring 33 goals this season and becoming the key player in PSG’s attack.

Tactical Showdown

This final is more than just a match, it's a tactical chess game.

PSG operates with a high-energy 4-3-3 formation. Their game is built on pressing high, quick transitions and overwhelming opponents with pace and movement. Key threats include Dembélé, the unpredictable Kvaratskhelia, and the exciting Warren Zaïre-Emery or Désiré Doué. In midfield, João Neves, Vitinha, and Fabián Ruiz bring balance, creativity, and control.

Inter Milan sticks to their tried-and-tested 3-5-2 system. It’s a setup that prioritizes defensive discipline and tactical awareness. Wing-backs Denzel Dumfries and Federico Dimarco provide width and attacking thrust, while Lautaro Martínez, now fully fit, leads the line with sharp movement and clinical finishing. Their counter-attacks and set pieces are where they hurt teams most.

Key battle zones: Expect fireworks on the flanks. PSG’s Nuno Mendes will have his hands full with Dumfries, while Dembélé and Hakimi’s combination down the right will test Bastoni and Dimarco’s defensive mettle.

Players Who Can Change the Game

• Ousmane Dembélé (PSG): With 33 goals this season, he’s not just in form, he’s in the form of his life. His pace and trickery will be Inter’s biggest concern.

• Gianluigi Donnarumma (PSG): Known for his penalty-saving heroics, Donnarumma could be the difference-maker if the final goes the distance.

• Lautaro Martínez (Inter): Back from injury and hungry for glory, the Argentine striker remains Inter’s most dangerous weapon in front of goal.

• Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Inter): Set pieces, long shots, and game intelligence, he’s the creative spark that can unlock any defense.

• Yann Sommer (Inter): Arguably the tournament’s top goalkeeper, Sommer’s shot-stopping ability has saved Inter on numerous occasions.

What History Tells Us

For PSG, this is just their second Champions League final. Their last shot at glory ended in heartbreak in 2020 against Bayern Munich. A win would mark their first-ever European crown.

Inter Milan, on the other hand, are veterans of the big stage. This is their eighth final, with three European titles already under their belt. Their last triumph came in 2010, led by the legendary José Mourinho. They’re looking to make up for a narrow loss to Manchester City in the 2023 final.

Betting Odds & Predictions: Who Has the Edge?

Both Teams to Score - YES @1.75 (22Bet)

PSG poses a high attacking threat with frequent goals, scoring in 7 of the last 8 knockout games in the competition. However, they have some defensive vulnerabilities, conceding in 60% of their matches.

Inter combines an effective attacking and a little defensive weakness, making them concede, but capable of scoring. They have conceded 10 goals in 5 of their 6 knockout games. However, their attack has brought in 15 goals in that span.

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PSG to win @ 2.20 (PariPesa)

Paris Saint-Germain’s (PSG) chances of winning the Champions League final are largely driven by their impressive attacking efficiency and consistent goal-scoring. They have netted 33 goals throughout the 2024/25 Champions League season, averaging 2.07 per game. 

PSG has only conceded 15 goals (0.94 per match), highlighting a strong balance between offense and defense. Their performance has been even more impressive in the later stages of the tournament, where they’ve increased their scoring average to 2.38 goals per game and reduced goals conceded to just 0.75 per game, showing their ability to rise to the occasion in high-pressure matches.

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Denzel Dumfries to Commit over 1.5 Fouls @1.50 (Betwinner)

Dumfries, known for his aggressive and physical defensive style, averages around 2.5 fouls per game in European competition this season, well above the 1.5 fouls threshold. This is consistent with his role as a right-back who frequently engages in tackles and challenges to disrupt opposing attackers. 

Given the high stakes and intensity of a Champions League final, it is very likely that Dumfries will commit at least two fouls as he attempts to contain PSG’s potent offence.

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